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The impact of industrial policymaking on the economics of low-emission technologies: the TRANSid model

T. Gerres, J.P. Chaves, P. Linares

17th Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems - SWEDES 2022, Paphos (Cyprus). 06-10 noviembre 2022


Summary:

Basic materials like steel, cement, aluminium and (petro)chemicals are the building blocks of our industrialised societies, but today their production is highly energy and emission-intensive. Hence, these industries need to decarbonise over the next decades to keep global warming at least below 2°C. However, low-emission industrial-scale production processes are not commercially available to date for any of these basic materials and require policy support to ensure their large-scale diffusion over the upcoming decades. This paper introduces the novel TRANSid (Transition to industry decarbonisation) model to study the framework conditions that enable large-scale investment decisions in climate-friendly basic material options. We use a simplified case study of the cement sector to show how the model optimises investment and operational cost until 2050 by opting for the installation of carbon capture technology. Furthermore, we demonstrate how an extension of the model to other sectors allows us to study industry and sector-specific policy options. 


Spanish layman's summary:

Se presenta el modelo TRANSid (Transición industrial hacia la descarbonización) para estudiar decisiones de inversión en opciones de materias primas amigables con el clima. Se introduce un caso de estudio del sector del cemento para mostrar cómo el modelo optimiza la inversión y el costo operativo.


English layman's summary:

This paper introduces the TRANSid (Transition to industry decarbonisation) model to study large-scale investment decisions in climate-friendly basic material options. We use a simplified case study of the cement sector to show how the model optimises investment and operational cost.


Keywords: deep decarbonisation, industrial policy, basic material sector, industry transition, emission pricing, carbon capture


Publication date: November 2022.



Citation:
Gerres, T., Chaves, J.P., Linares, P., The impact of industrial policymaking on the economics of low-emission technologies: the TRANSid model, 17th Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems - SWEDES 2022, Paphos (Cyprus). 06-10 November 2022.


    Research topics:
  • Analysis of sustainable energy policies
  • Regulation of energy network infrastructures
  • Long-term energy scenarios

IIT-22-155C

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